“Our highly attractive offer provides Beacon’s shareholders with immediate cash at a significant premium to the unaffected share price—without regulatory delays, financing risks, or due diligence conditions.”  
Brad Jacobs, QXO chairman and chief executive officer

Our offer to buy Beacon

QXO’s $124.25 per share all-cash offer to acquire Beacon Roofing Supply is highly compelling. The offer represents:

  • A 37% premium to Beacon’s 90-day unaffected VWAP of $91.02 per share as of November 15, 2024;
  • A 3.0x premium to Beacon’s historical next-twelve-months EBITDA multiple;1 and
  • A higher price than Beacon’s stock has ever traded.

In addition, since November 15, 2024, Beacon’s peers have lost 8.8% in value,2 making QXO’s offer even more attractive:

  • A 38% premium to an implied spot share price of $90.06;3 and
  • A 50% premium to the peer-adjusted 90-day VWAP of $83.00.3

Despite the strength of this offer, Beacon has repeatedly used delay tactics and adopted a shareholder-unfriendly poison pill.

  • Beacon flatly refused to engage unless QXO signed a standstill agreement—one that would have barred QXO from informing Beacon’s shareholders about the offer.
  • After QXO formally launched its tender offer, Beacon implemented a poison pill to obstruct the proposal.

Consensus analyst estimates indicate that Beacon will:

  • Miss its 2025 gross margin target by 127 bps;4
  • Miss its 2025 EBITDA margin target by 112 bps;4 and
  • Report EBITDA margins 18 bps lower in 2025 than when the Ambition 2025 plan was introduced.4

Beacon insiders recently sold shares at prices far below QXO’s offer.

Since early 2024:

  • Chairman Stuart Randle sold 21% of his shares at $94.80;5
  • CEO Julian Francis sold 10% of his shares at $97.91;6 and
  • CD&R, one of the most sophisticated financial sponsors in the distribution space, exited its position in Beacon at $83.16 per share.

Beacon announced it will host an investor day on March 13, shortly after QXO revealed its intention to engage directly with shareholders.

  • Beacon’s newly constructed projections won’t be revealed until more than three months after its Board first rejected QXO’s offer. The projections were undoubtedly designed to justify a higher price, and we suspect they are based on unrealistic assumptions.
  • If Beacon has strong, credible projections, why delay releasing them?

Beacon’s disclosures indicate that no viable competing offer was available as of February 6, 2025.

  • Beacon’s recent filings indicate there is no viable third-party alternative to QXO’s premium offer. Beacon’s 14D-9 filing did not report any competing offers, or even a single NDA being signed.

What experts are saying

“The price Jacobs has proposed would be an all-time high and it does top the sell side’s consensus price target for Beacon. It also looks relatively better when you factor in the losses that Beacon’s peers have suffered since November.” — Gordon Haskett, “Event-Driven Research” (1/15/2025)

“When we first learned QXO was willing to pay $124.25, we gave that proposal a B+ grade. Today, we’re raising that to an A.” — Gordon Haskett, “A Beacon peer taps the brakes” (2/20/2025)

“Now, shareholders will have to decide to take the money or back current management, risking a drop in the share price toward $100. The average share price last year was about $93.” — Bloomberg Opinion, “When Brad Jacobs Talks, Investors Should Pay Attention” by Thomas Black (1/16/2025)

“It seems unlikely to us that investors will vote against the cash offer regardless of what information is given at the upcoming Beacon analyst day.” — Truist, “QXO Continues Beacon Pressure; Still Waiting for Competing Bids” (2/10/2025)

“We believe QXO’s offer to buy Beacon for $124.25 per share in cash is compelling, and we see a high likelihood the deal gets done.” — William Blair, “Thoughts on QXO’s $11 Billion Offer to Acquire Beacon” (1/15/2025)

“Now that QXO is going public with their bid, we would think that there would be more pressure on Beacon to sell, as the purchase price range appears fair to us in comparison to Beacon’s historical valuation and when compared to peer multiples.” — Loop Capital, “QXO Makes Bid for Beacon Public, PT to $127” (1/15/2025)

“Though our fundamental outlook suggests a $115 target price, we believe the absence of takeout speculation could suggest Beacon shares drop into the $90s over the near term.” — Stifel, “QXO Offer Prospects Likely to Dictate Near-term Performance: Downgrade to Hold” (2/6/2025)

“Feedback from investors so far suggests to us that Beacon will potentially face an uphill battle convincing shareholders that its standalone path is compelling enough to forego a QXO deal.” — RBC Capital Markets, “Beacon Response to QXO Takeout Disclosures and Initial Investor Feedback” (1/15/2025)

“QXO’s offer price appears reasonable based on peers’ valuations.” — Bloomberg Law, “Beacon Roofing, UniFirst, Sage Among Top US M&A Targets: Survey” by Yiqin Shen (1/28/2025)

QXO is “offering a 37% premium for a company that just hasn’t done well.” — Steve Weiss, CNBC’s Halftime Report (1/15/2025)

“Should QXO pull out, Beacon shares could very likely go back down below $100.” Loop Capital, “QXO Makes Bid for Beacon Public, PT to $127” (1/15/2025)

“Prior to the WSJ report in November, Beacon was trading at ~8.8X our 2024 EBITDA estimate, a modest discount to Beacon’s long-term 9.2X multiple but a premium to the 7.3X average over the past 3 years as the industry continues comping strong storm demand, and well below the ~11.5X multiple implied by QXO’s bid.” — Wolfe Research, “QXO Announces Bid for Beacon at $124.25 Per Share” (1/15/2025)

“Beacon shareholders can get a fair value and choose to buy QXO for exposure to roofing distribution and a leadership team with a long record of value creation.” — William Blair, “Thoughts on QXO’s $11 Billion Offer to Acquire Beacon” (1/15/2025)

“[The HD/SRS] multiple does not consider any control premium for the Pool and Landscape businesses or the rapid growth of SRS’ Pool and Landscaping businesses. Assuming a 30% control premium for those businesses, implies HD paid closer to 12X for SRS’ Roofing business.” — Wolfe Research, “QXO Announces Bid for Beacon at $124.25 Per Share” (1/15/2025)

“Our general sense has been QXO is “winning” the “hearts and minds” campaign so far.” — RBC Capital Markets, “The Saga Continues” (2/10/2025)

“Are there any other potential bidders? Our initial sense is the company has effectively been for sale for at least the last couple months, and no one has emerged, with a somewhat limited pool of potential alternatives.” — RBC Capital Markets, “Beacon Response to QXO Takeout Disclosures and Initial Investor Feedback” (1/15/2025)

“[QXO's Board nominees] appear to be an extremely strong and well qualified independent slate with extensive experience, including several nominees who have shepherded companies through transformative deals. Of note, 100% of nominees have industrial experience, 80% have public board experience, 70% have building products distribution experience, 70% have been either CEOs of CFOs, and 90% have M&A experience. We also note that 4 of the 10 have a roofing background with experience at OC [Owens Corning].” — RBC Capital Markets, “QXO Formally Proposes Slate of Directors for Beacon’s AGM” (2/12/2025)

“Beacon’s long-term targets need to be taken with a grain of salt.” — RBC Capital Markets, “What is Beacon Thinking?” (2/4/2025)

“Beacon’s apparent reticence to sell is also not all that surprising: (1) insider stock ownership at Beacon is nearly de minimis, including at the Board level; (2) it appears half of Beacon’s 10 Board members are retired, including chairman Randle (optically suggesting increased personal incentive to retain Board membership for annual income purposes and/or “extra attention” to personal reputational risk of being out-negotiated); (3) CD&R (private equity) no longer has Board representation, having exited its position; and (4) senior management’s change of control payouts appear modest.” — Raymond James, “QXO Attempting to Acquire Beacon in Hostile $124.25 per Share Bid” (1/15/2025)

“Beacon’s relatively paltry change of control compensation to management and its Board composition are such that Beacon is disincentivized to accept a takeout (by QXO or anyone else).” — Raymond James, “The QXO/Beacon Saga Continues; Beacon Adopts Poison Pill” (1/28/2025)

QXO neither requested nor received permission to use these quotes.

Debunking Beacon’s misleading claims

Beacon's fiction:

“Ambition 2025 has delivered above-market growth.”

Fact:

  • Beacon’s growth has significantly lagged its peers. From 2019 through LTM September 2024, Beacon’s ~8% revenue CAGR is the lowest of its peer group and well below the peer median of ~12%.7

Beacon's fiction:

“Ambition 2025 is responsible for Beacon’s 11 straight quarters of record net sales.”

Fact:

  • This can be attributed nearly entirely to extraordinary inflation, aided by taking on significant debt for M&A transactions and greenfields. Importantly, Beacon is on track to miss all its Ambition 2025 margin targets. Acquiring low margin sales is not a sustainable strategy for long-term value creation.

Beacon's fiction:

“Beacon’s total shareholder return of more than 200% during the past five years show Ambition 2025 has been successful.”

Fact:

  • Beacon’s total shareholder return (TSR) numbers are not impressive in the context of the performance of its peers.
  • Over the past five years, Beacon’s total shareholder return has trailed its Building Products Proxy Peers by 86% and trailed those peers by 140% since CEO Julian Francis took over as CEO in August 2019.8
  • Moreover, the valuation gap between Beacon’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple and those of its Building Products Proxy Peers has widened by 1.3x over the last three years.9

Beacon's fiction:

“Continuing to run the Company’s standalone plan will deliver substantially greater value for the Company’s stockholders than QXO’s offer.”

Fact:

  • Beacon is tracking to miss its Ambition 2025 plan, with consensus analyst estimates indicating that Beacon will:
  • Miss its 2025 gross margin target by 127 bps;
  • Miss its 2025 EBITDA margin target by 112 bps; and
  • Report EBITDA margins 18 bps lower in 2025 than when the Ambition 2025 plan was introduced.10
  • Beacon’s Investor Day was announced only after QXO emphasized to Beacon that it was ready to approach shareholders directly, and it has made shareholders wait another two months for its projections. Such a delay in disclosure suggests the company lacks credible projections and requires the lengthy interim period to formulate them from scratch. Management itself acknowledged in its filings that its upcoming 2028 targets are “ambitious,” implying they may not be realistic.
  • Assuming an average historical trading multiple of 8.1x, illustrative discount rate of 13% and 2026 consensus margins, Beacon would require extraordinary growth to achieve $124.25 on a present value basis:
  • ~17% implied 2024-2026 revenue CAGR,11 four times consensus revenue growth of ~4%;10 and
  • ~21% implied 2024-2026 EBITDA CAGR,11 compared to ~7% consensus EBITDA growth.10

Beacon's fiction:

“Beacon’s Board has a firm and demonstrated commitment to acting in the best interests of Beacon and all its shareholders.”

Fact:

  • QXO made an offer of $124.25, which is higher than the stock has ever traded and a 37% premium to the undisturbed 90-day VWAP. Still, the company sought to try to prevent QXO from publicizing this offer to shareholders.
  • Beacon's Board has ignored shareholders' interests by refusing to meet with QXO unless we agreed to a standstill agreement, preventing us from presenting this offer directly to shareholders.
  • Beacon’s entire Board and management team collectively own only 1.3%12 of Beacon's outstanding shares, raising questions about whether the company and Board have the best interests of shareholders in mind.
  • Beacon’s Board and insiders have been sellers of the stock well below $124.25. Beacon’s chairman recently sold 21% of his shares at $94.80 and Beacon’s CEO recently sold 10% of his shares at $97.91, a 24% discount and 21% discount to QXO’s $124.25 per share offer price, respectively.5,6

Beacon's fiction:

“QXO’s offer is not compelling and is an opportunistic attempt to acquire Beacon at a discount, especially when considered against recent industry deals, like Home Depot buying SRS Distribution.”

Fact:

  • Our offer is a 37% premium to Beacon’s unaffected 90-day VWAP and higher than Beacon’s stock has ever traded.
  • The offer is full and fair—and even fuller and fairer than the day we first conveyed it, because peers have traded off.
  • SRS does not present an accurate "apples-to-apples” comparison:
  • SRS has generated significantly stronger organic growth than Beacon.
  • From 2018-2023, SRS delivered an approximately 30% revenue CAGR, far outpacing Beacon’s 5%.13
  • Even more impressively, over a very long period of time (2010-2022), SRS’s organic growth was dramatically higher, averaging ~20% annually, well above ~5% for Beacon.13
  • There was a similarly sharp disparity in 2018-2023 EBITDA CAGR during this period, ~35% for SRS vs. 12% for Beacon.13
  • At the outset of this decade, SRS generated an average ROIC of 40%. Beacon’s 2023 ROIC was 14%.13, 14
  • SRS has meaningful exposure to high-growth adjacencies outside of roofing distribution, in pool and landscaping distribution; the publicly traded industry leaders in each of these categories trade at premium multiples, and have for some time. A notional sum-of-the-parts valuation applying Pool Corp’s and SiteOne’s multiples (inclusive of a customary control premium) reveals that SRS’s core roofing distribution business was effectively acquired at 12x EBITDA—approximately the same multiple implied by our $124.25 offer for Beacon.15

    Beacon's fiction:

    “Each Beacon Board member brings the skills, knowledge, experience and tenure necessary to guide the company’s strategic and operational direction.”

    Fact:

    • Beacon’s Board has limited operational and managerial experience in building products distribution.
    • Beacon’s current Board seems to be clinging to their seats as evidenced by excessive tenure and limited other public directorships. Among Beacon’s current Board members:
    • 60% have no other public directorships.
    • Beacon’s chairman has remained on the Board for over 18 years.
    • The majority of Beacon’s independent directors have remained on the Board for more than nine years.
    • Among QXO’s slate of nominees:
    • 80% have public board experience.
    • 100% have experience in the industrial sector.
    • 70% have building products distribution sector experience.
    • 90% have M&A experience.
    • 70% have CEO or CFO experience.

    Beacon's fiction:

    “QXO’s offer has a high degree of conditionality.”

    Fact:

    • QXO’s offer has a high degree of certainty:
    • Committed financing in place;
    • Regulatory approvals secured;
    • No due diligence conditions; and
    • Ability to close quickly.

    Beacon's fiction:

    QXO’s nominations are an attempt to pressure the Board into accepting its offer.”

    Fact:

    • QXO’s slate is an impressive group of accomplished senior executives and directors from some of the best companies in the world—with significant, relevant experience.
    • If elected, QXO’s nominees will provide Beacon’s shareholders with an experienced Board that will independently evaluate QXO’s offer.
    • We have deep respect for Beacon’s shareholders—it is their company, and they deserve a Board that will represent their interests.

    Press releases

    1 As of November 15, 2024; historical multiple represents three-year average through November 15, 2024; next-twelve-months EBITDA calculated using calendarized annual broker EBITDA estimates for Beacon

    2 Market data as of February 19, 2025. Average of building products subset of the peer list presented in Beacon’s April 2024 Proxy Statement; includes: Builders FirstSource, Boise Cascade, GMS, Pool Corp, SiteOne, WATSCO, Wesco (“Building Products Proxy Peers”)

    3 Based on Beacon’s unaffected share price as of November 15, 2024 and the average share price performance since November 15, 2024 for the Building Products Proxy Peers

    4 Based on median 2025E Wall Street research estimates, sourced from Capital IQ as of February 19, 2025

    5 As per Mr. Randle’s Form 4 filed with the SEC on May 28, 2024. According to Mr. Randle’s Form 4, this sale was not made pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 plan or to pay any exercise price or tax liability incident to the receipt, exercise or vesting of equity awards

    6 As per Mr. Francis’s Form 4 filed with the SEC on May 22, 2024. According to Mr. Francis’s Form 4, this sale was not made pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 plan or to pay any exercise price or tax liability incident to the receipt, exercise or vesting of equity awards

    7 Reported revenues for Beacon and Building Products Proxy Peers

    8 Market data as of November 15, 2024. Total shareholder return reflects stock price performance adjusted for cash dividends paid, stock splits, rights offerings and spin-offs during the period

    9 As per Capital IQ as of November 15, 2024

    10 Based on median 2025E Wall Street research estimates, sourced from Capital IQ as of February 19, 2025

    11 Calculated as 2025E Implied Future Share Price discounted to February 19, 2025. Assumes cost of equity of 13.2% derived via the Capital Asset Pricing Model: Risk-Free Rate = 4.4%, Beta per Barra = 1.46, Market Risk Premium = 6.0%. Assumes Beacon balance sheet assumptions per broker consensus estimates: 2025E Net Debt: $2.2 billion, Q3’ 2024 Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding: 64 million. Assumes Next-Twelve-Months EBITDA multiple of 8.1x, consistent with last-three-year historical average. QXO’s offer implied Revenue assumes 2026E consensus EBITDA margin

    12 As per Schedule 14D-9 filed with the SEC on February 6, 2025

    13 SRS statistics as per industry sources; Beacon statistics as per public filings

    14 ROIC defined as tax-effected EBIT divided by invested capital, with invested capital reflecting book equity and debt

    15 Wolfe Research, “QXO Announces Bid for Beacon at $124.25 Per Share” (1/15/2025)